India will respond with military force to Pakistan’s provocations: US intelligence report
India, under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is more likely than in the past to respond with military force to real or perceived Pakistani provocations, the US intelligence community told Congress in a report.
The Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) in its Annual Threat Assessment report to the US Congress, said that while an all-out war between India and Pakistan is unlikely, the crises between the two are likely to turn more intense, with the risk of a staggered cycle.
“Under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India is more likely than in the past to respond with military force to actual or perceived Pakistani provocations, and rising tensions increase the risk of conflict between the two nuclear-armed neighbors. , with violent riots in Kashmir or an attack by militants in India are potential flashpoints, “he said.
India and Pakistan lack high commissioners in each other’s capitals since relations between the two countries plummeted after India withdrew Jammu and Kashmir’s special status and forked the state into two union territories in August 2019.
India has said that it wants normal neighborhood relations with Pakistan in an environment free from terror, hostility, and violence and that the responsibility lies with Islamabad to create an environment free from terror and hostility.
According to the ODNI report, the fighting in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria have a direct relationship with US forces, while the nuclear-armed tensions between India and Pakistan remain a concern for the world.
Iterative violence between Israel and Iran, activity by foreign powers in Libya, and conflicts in other areas, such as Africa, Asia, and the Middle East, have the potential to escalate or spread, he said. In Afghanistan, the ODNI report assessed that the prospects for a peace agreement will remain low over the next year.
“The Taliban are likely to make advances on the battlefield, and the Afghan government will fight to hold off the Taliban if the coalition withdraws its support. Kabul continues to face setbacks on the battlefield, and the Taliban are confident that they can achieve military victory. ” He said.
“Afghan forces continue to secure major cities and other government strongholds, but remain tied up on defensive missions and have struggled to maintain reclaimed territory or reestablish a presence in abandoned areas in 2020, according to the report.
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